Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, Cernache do Bonjardim
The Footlab AI model makes Vitória de Sernache the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Oliveirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitória de Sernache wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Vitória de Sernache (1,911) and Oliveirense (1,845).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitória de Sernache
4-3-3- 13Lucas Daniel
- 1Jota Silva
- 10André Dias
- 19E. Moura
- 21M. Almeida
- 6R. Embalo
- 4Matheus Matias
- 22Filipe Garcia
- 3Diego Tavares
- 17T. Marques
- 1Joao Lucas
Oliveirense
4-3-3- 10Joao Tavares
- 22R. Rei
- 95Théo Fonseca
- 8Vasco Braga
- 6J. Daniel
- 78D. Sancho
- 14Simão Martins
- 55Luís Bastos
- 24Gonçalo Loureiro
- 13Vasco de Cunha Santos
- 33Unai Pérez
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitória de Sernache have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oliveirense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brito(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vitória de Sernache wins, 0 draws, 1 Oliveirense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oliveirense 3-2 Vitória de Sernache | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vitória de Sernache score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Oliveirense score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória de Sernache | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oliveirense | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitória de Sernache sit 9th in Liga 3 (7 points from 8 matches) and Oliveirense sit 5th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oliveirense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitória de Sernache | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitória de Sernache the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Oliveirense.
- Where and when is Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense played?
- Vitória de Sernache vs Oliveirense is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.