Walton & Hersham vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Sports Ground, Walton-on-Thames, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walton & Hersham vs Dorking Wanderers?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Walton & Hersham (1,875) and Dorking Wanderers (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walton & Hersham have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-5 | National League - South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Walton & Hersham win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dorking Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Dorking Wanderers 2-2 Walton & Hersham | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Walton & Hersham on Jul 8, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Walton & Hersham score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walton & Hersham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walton & Hersham sit 24th in National League - South (0 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walton & Hersham vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Walton & Hersham the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Walton & Hersham vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Walton & Hersham vs Dorking Wanderers is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Sports Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Maidstone UtdvsSalisbury
- Aug 29, 2026TorquayvsHampton & Richmond
- Aug 29, 2026DovervsBraintree
- Aug 29, 2026Billericay TownvsTonbridge Angels
- Aug 29, 2026Slough TownvsFolkestone Invicta
- Aug 29, 2026Chelmsford CityvsMaidenhead
- Aug 29, 2026Truro CityvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Aug 29, 2026AFC TottonvsChesham United