Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 5-0 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-3 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SKRA Częstochowa.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
- Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKluczbork
- Oct 10, 2026ROW RybnikvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Oct 10, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsStilon Gorzów
- Oct 10, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsSłowianin
- Oct 10, 2026Carina GubinvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Oct 10, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsSparta Katowice
- Oct 10, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsZagłębie Lubin II
- Oct 10, 2026Barycz SułówvsStal Brzeg