Match

Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta GorzówSKRA Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).

Warta Gorzów win46 %
Draw25 %
SKRA Częstochowa win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3
SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Warta Gorzów 5-0 SKRA CzęstochowaIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2025SKRA Częstochowa 1-3 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for SKRA Częstochowa.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
Warta Gorzów vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Gorzów and SKRA Częstochowa

Ready to know everything about football?