Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrów?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Warta Sieradz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 0-2 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 24, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 1-0 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 2-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Warta Sieradz on May 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 62%, against 19% for a draw and 19% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWidzew II
- Sep 19, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsSwit
- Sep 19, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsJagiellonia II
- Sep 19, 2026Mławianka MławavsTroszyn
- Sep 19, 2026ŁomżavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Sep 19, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Sep 19, 2026WeszlovsOlimpia Elbląg