Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Wisła Płock II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,752) and Wisła Płock II (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Wisła Płock II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Wisła Płock II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
| Wisła Płock II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Wisła Płock II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II?
- The Footlab model makes Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Wisła Płock II.
- Where and when is Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II played?
- Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Wisła Płock II is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWidzew II
- Sep 19, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsSwit
- Sep 19, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsJagiellonia II
- Sep 19, 2026Mławianka MławavsTroszyn
- Sep 19, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Sep 19, 2026ŁomżavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Sep 19, 2026WeszlovsOlimpia Elbląg