Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Swit. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,756) and Swit (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 2-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Swit 2-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2024 | Swit 3-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Swit.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsWidzew II
- Sep 19, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 19, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsJagiellonia II
- Sep 19, 2026Mławianka MławavsTroszyn
- Sep 19, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Sep 19, 2026ŁomżavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Sep 19, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Sep 19, 2026WeszlovsOlimpia Elbląg