Wigry Suwałki vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Widzew II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Widzew II?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,834) and Widzew II (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Widzew II 4-0 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 2-0 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Widzew II vs Wigry Suwałki on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Widzew II.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Widzew II played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Widzew II is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Sep 19, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsSwit
- Sep 19, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsJagiellonia II
- Sep 19, 2026Mławianka MławavsTroszyn
- Sep 19, 2026Warta SieradzvsOlimpia Zambrów
- Sep 19, 2026ŁomżavsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Sep 19, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Sep 19, 2026WeszlovsOlimpia Elbląg