Where and when is Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg played?

Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Weszlo

Olimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Weszlo starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,635).

Weszlo win76 %

Draw15 %

Olimpia Elbląg win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Weszlo have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Weszlo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	5-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Łomża(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 5; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Weszlo	2.8	0.4	3	2/5	3/5
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Weszlo sit 1st in III Liga - Group 1 (15 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weszlo	5	5	0	0	14	2	15
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg?: The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg played?: Weszlo vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.