Welling United vs Cray Wanderers: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Cray Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Cray Wanderers?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Welling United (1,764) and Cray Wanderers (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Cray Wanderers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dartford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whitehawk(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Welling United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cray Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cray Wanderers 2-3 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Welling United 0-2 Cray Wanderers | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cray Wanderers 2-1 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 5, 2022 | Cray Wanderers 0-2 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2021 | Cray Wanderers 2-2 Welling United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Cray Wanderers 0-1 Welling United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Cray Wanderers vs Welling United on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cray Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cray Wanderers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Cray Wanderers sit 15th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cray Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Cray Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Welling United the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Cray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Cray Wanderers played?
- Welling United vs Cray Wanderers is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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