Welling United vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leatherhead wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Welling United vs Leatherhead?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Welling United (1,833) and Leatherhead (1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Welling United vs Leatherhead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Welling United
Not enough data to predict the Welling United lineup.
Leatherhead
Not enough data to predict the Leatherhead lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Leatherhead have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Three Bridges(away) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Welling United wins, 0 draws, 1 Leatherhead win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leatherhead 4-1 Welling United | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Leatherhead vs Welling United on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Welling United score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Welling United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Leatherhead | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (24 points from 11 matches) and Leatherhead sit 12th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welling United | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 12 | Leatherhead | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 15 |
A question about Welling United vs Leatherhead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Leatherhead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Welling United.
- Where and when is Welling United vs Leatherhead played?
- Welling United vs Leatherhead is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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