Match

Welling United vs Leatherhead: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, Welling, Kent

Welling UnitedLeatherhead

The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Welling United vs Leatherhead?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Welling United (1,769) and Leatherhead (1,864).

Welling United win32 %
Draw24 %
Leatherhead win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Welling United have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Leatherhead have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Welling United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dartford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Stanway Rovers(home)4-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead(away)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whitehawk(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Leatherhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maldon & Tiptree(home)1-4Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Burgess Hill Town(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Welling United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Ramsgate(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Ashford Town (Middlesex)(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Welling United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Leatherhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 11, 2026Leatherhead 4-1 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Leatherhead vs Welling United on Aug 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Welling United score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leatherhead score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Welling United2.01.358/159/15
Leatherhead1.91.2411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Welling United sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Isthmian (9 points from 4 matches) and Leatherhead sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Welling United43011049
8Leatherhead4211987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Welling United vs Leatherhead?
The Footlab model makes Leatherhead the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Welling United.
Where and when is Welling United vs Leatherhead played?
Welling United vs Leatherhead is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Acclaim Handling Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Welling United and Leatherhead

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