Where and when is Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen played?

Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin

Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,034) and Werder Bremen (2,041).

Union Berlin win44 %

Draw24 %

Werder Bremen win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)	3-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Auxerre(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	SC Paderborn 07(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Union Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Werder Bremen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Union Berlin 1-4 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Oct 24, 2025	Werder Bremen 1-0 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
May 3, 2025	Union Berlin 2-2 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2024	Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Mar 16, 2024	Union Berlin 2-1 Werder Bremen	Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2023	Werder Bremen 2-0 Union Berlin	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
Werder Bremen	1.8	1.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39
15	Werder Bremen	34	8	8	18	37	60	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?: The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen played?: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.