Match

Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union BerlinWerder Bremen

The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Berlin wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,030) and Werder Bremen (2,081).

43%23%34%
Union Berlin winDrawWerder Bremen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 30K. Imeri
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-4Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Union Berlin win, 1 draw, 4 Werder Bremen wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Union Berlin 1-4 Werder BremenBundesliga
Oct 24, 2025Werder Bremen 1-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
May 3, 2025Union Berlin 2-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
Dec 21, 2024Werder Bremen 4-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Mar 16, 2024Union Berlin 2-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Oct 28, 2023Werder Bremen 2-0 Union BerlinBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Berlin2.12.5111/1511/15
Werder Bremen2.01.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Berlin sit 16th in Bundesliga (4 points from 5 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Werder Bremen522110108
16Union Berlin51135174

A question about Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen played?
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Union Berlin and Werder Bremen

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