Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München
The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,524 Elo points against 2,107, a 417-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 2-1 | Super Cup |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bayern München win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Bayern München 4-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2025 | Bayern München 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-1 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Bayern München 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 Bayern München | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 2.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bayern München sit 1st in Bundesliga (89 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122 | 36 | 89 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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