West Brom vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Brom vs QPR?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate West Brom (1,891) and QPR (1,866).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Brom have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; QPR have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 West Brom win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 QPR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | West Brom 2-1 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | QPR 3-1 West Brom | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2025 | West Brom 1-0 QPR | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2024 | QPR 1-3 West Brom | Championship |
| Mar 6, 2024 | QPR 2-2 West Brom | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2023 | West Brom 2-0 QPR | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
West Brom score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 2.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| QPR | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Brom sit 2nd in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and QPR sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | QPR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Brom vs QPR?
- The Footlab model makes West Brom the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for QPR.
- Where and when is West Brom vs QPR played?
- West Brom vs QPR is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.