West Ham vs Wrexham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)London Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Wrexham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win West Ham vs Wrexham?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate West Ham (2,102) and Wrexham (2,010).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, West Ham have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Wrexham have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 0-1 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-1 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 3-2 | Premier League - Summer Series |
How many goals should we expect?
West Ham score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wrexham score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Wrexham | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
West Ham sit 10th in Championship (1 points from 1 matches) and Wrexham sit 14th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | West Ham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for West Ham vs Wrexham?
- The Footlab model makes West Ham the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Wrexham.
- Where and when is West Ham vs Wrexham played?
- West Ham vs Wrexham is played on September 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at London Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.