Derby vs Birmingham: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Birmingham won 1-2 on September 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 40′B. ClarkDerby
- 42′Carlos VicenteBirmingham
- 63′Paik Seung-HoBirmingham
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Birmingham win at 44%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Derby vs Birmingham
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Derby
4-2-3-1- 9C. Morris
- 19H. Meister
- 11S. Szmodics
- 16M. Fuseini
- 4D. Ozoh
- 8B. Clark
- 18C. Taylor
- 44E. Cashin
- 6S. Langås
- 23J. Ward
- 1J. Widell Zetterström
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 9A. Priske
- 17L. Millar
- 28J. Stansfield
- 7Carlos Vicente
- 14J. Solis
- 24T. Iwata
- 20A. Cochrane
- 4C. Klarer
- 5P. Neumann
- 26B. Osayi-Samuel
- 1J. Beadle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Birmingham have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-6 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby wins, 2 draws, 2 Birmingham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Derby 1-0 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Birmingham 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Derby 2-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Birmingham 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Derby 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham 0-4 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 23rd in Championship (6 points from 9 matches) and Birmingham sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 23 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
A question about Derby vs Birmingham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy