Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gainsborough Trinity wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,118 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?
On Elo ratings, Gainsborough Trinity has 1,897 points and Ashton United 1,816.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ashton United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 6-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Avro(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gainsborough Trinity wins, 0 draws, 3 Ashton United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Ashton United 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Ashton United 0-3 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Ashton United 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ashton United 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 5th in Non League Premier - Northern (25 points from 13 matches) and Ashton United sit 16th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 25 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
A question about Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.