Whitby Town vs Quorn: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, Whitby, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Quorn?
Quorn starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitby Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Quorn have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Whitby Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitby Town | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Quorn | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitby Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Quorn sit 21st (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Whitby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 21 | Quorn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitby Town vs Quorn?
- The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Whitby Town.
- Where and when is Whitby Town vs Quorn played?
- Whitby Town vs Quorn is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Towbar Express Stadium at the Turnbull Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsAshton United
- Dec 12, 2026Hyde UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Dec 12, 2026Curzon AshtonvsCleethorpes Town
- Dec 12, 2026Ilkeston TownvsBury
- Dec 12, 2026Leek TownvsWorkington
- Dec 12, 2026Lancaster CityvsGuiseley AFC
- Dec 12, 2026United of ManchestervsRedcar Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026RylandsvsAlfreton Town