Telstar vs Willem II: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab AI model makes Telstar the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Willem II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Telstar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs Willem II?
Telstar starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,889 vs 1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Telstar vs Willem II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Telstar
3-4-2-1- 9Jelani Seedorf
- 10T. Owusu
- 7Rui Mendes
- 27P. Brouwer
- 17N. Rossen
- 3Gerald Alders
- 2J. Hardeveld
- 43M. Peersman
- 4A. Soualhia
- 16S. Valk
- 1R. Koeman
Willem II
4-2-3-1- 9D. Haen
- 7J. Slory
- 19Uriel van Aalst
- 6C. Twigt
- 52T. Vilhena
- 32V. van Crooij
- 24N. Tjoe-A-On
- 3F. Stam
- 5H. ter Avest
- 23M. Dekker
- 26M. Delanghe
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Willem II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Telstar win, 2 draws, 3 Willem II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | Willem II 1-3 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| May 29, 2025 | Telstar 2-2 Willem II | Eredivisie |
| May 10, 2024 | Willem II 3-2 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Telstar 1-5 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| May 5, 2023 | Telstar 0-0 Willem II | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Willem II 2-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Willem II score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Willem II | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 15th in Eredivisie (6 points from 8 matches) and Willem II sit 18th (2 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 2 |
A question about Telstar vs Willem II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Willem II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Telstar the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Willem II.
- Where and when is Telstar vs Willem II played?
- Telstar vs Willem II is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.