NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NEC Nijmegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 11, 2017 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 10, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 20, 2016 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2015 | NEC Nijmegen 4-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag on Feb 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.