NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag?
NEC Nijmegen starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (2,091 vs 1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 20N. Lebreton
- 9T. Chery
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 35Jamiro Monteiro
- 22A. Kaplan
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
ADO Den Haag
4-2-3-1- 27N. Thomas
- 25J. Kilo
- 11E. Rottier
- 17J. Hawkins
- 14M. Jiménez
- 33M. Šín
- 3P. Mulder
- 4M. Waem
- 15M. Hokke
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 06:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 NEC Nijmegen wins, 1 draw, 2 ADO Den Haag wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 11, 2017 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 10, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2016 | NEC Nijmegen 1-1 ADO Den Haag | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 20, 2016 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2015 | NEC Nijmegen 4-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag on Feb 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 11th in Eredivisie (14 points from 12 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 14 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 9 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.