Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków played?

Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

Wieczysta Kraków

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Wieczysta Kraków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,933) and Wieczysta Kraków (1,930).

Motor Lublin win46 %

Draw26 %

Wieczysta Kraków win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Wieczysta Kraków have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

Wieczysta Kraków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Piast Gliwice(away)	4-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026	Lech Poznan(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Maccabi Netanya(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Wieczysta Kraków	2.0	1.7	1	12/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5
17	Wieczysta Kraków	4	1	0	3	8	10	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków?: The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków played?: Motor Lublin vs Wieczysta Kraków is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.