Leek Town vs Workington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Workington. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leek Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Workington?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Leek Town (1,811) and Workington (1,768).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Workington
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Workington have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Leek Town wins, 2 draws, 2 Workington wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Workington 3-2 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Workington 0-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Leek Town 2-2 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Leek Town 1-0 Workington | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Workington 1-1 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Leek Town 0-1 Workington | Non League Div One - Northern West |
Last archived meeting: Workington vs Leek Town on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 12 matches) and Workington sit 9th (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Workington | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 18 | Leek Town | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 11 |
A question about Leek Town vs Workington?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Workington?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leek Town the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Workington.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Workington played?
- Leek Town vs Workington is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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