Stockton Town vs Avro: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees
The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Stockton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Avro?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Stockton Town (1,782) and Avro (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Avro | 3.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockton Town sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Avro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 17 | Stockton Town | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Avro?
- The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Stockton Town.
- Where and when is Stockton Town vs Avro played?
- Stockton Town vs Avro is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsAshton United
- Dec 12, 2026Hyde UnitedvsBamber Bridge
- Dec 12, 2026Curzon AshtonvsCleethorpes Town
- Dec 12, 2026Ilkeston TownvsBury
- Dec 12, 2026Leek TownvsWorkington
- Dec 12, 2026Lancaster CityvsGuiseley AFC
- Dec 12, 2026United of ManchestervsRedcar Athletic
- Dec 12, 2026Whitby TownvsQuorn