Worthing vs Yeovil Town: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 17, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Sussex Transport Community Stadium, Worthing, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Yeovil Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Worthing vs Yeovil Town?
Worthing starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Worthing have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Yeovil Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Worthing win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yeovil Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Yeovil Town 1-3 Worthing | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Worthing 1-2 Yeovil Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Yeovil Town vs Worthing on Apr 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Worthing score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yeovil Town score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Yeovil Town | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Worthing sit 9th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Yeovil Town sit 11th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Yeovil Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Worthing vs Yeovil Town?
- The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Yeovil Town.
- Where and when is Worthing vs Yeovil Town played?
- Worthing vs Yeovil Town is played on February 17, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Sussex Transport Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.