Xerez vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera
The Footlab AI model makes Cadiz the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cadiz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xerez vs Cadiz?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Xerez (1,926) and Cadiz (1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xerez vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xerez
Not enough data to predict the Xerez lineup.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 19Urko Izeta
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 4Javi Castro
- 2Beñat de Jesús
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Cadiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Betis II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tenerife II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Xerez wins, 1 draw, 0 Cadiz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | Xerez 0-0 Cadiz | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Xerez score 0.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Xerez vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cadiz the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Xerez.
- Where and when is Xerez vs Cadiz played?
- Xerez vs Cadiz is played on October 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.