Yemen vs United Arab Emirates: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ali Muhsen Al-Muraisi Stadium, Sana'a
The Footlab model makes Yemen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for United Arab Emirates. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yemen vs United Arab Emirates?
United Arab Emirates starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,637 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yemen have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; United Arab Emirates have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Lebanon(away) | 2-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Comoros(away) | 4-4 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bhutan(home) | 7-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Brunei(home) | 9-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Brunei(away) | 2-0 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-3 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Algeria(away) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kuwait(home) | 3-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Egypt(home) | 1-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 1-2 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Yemen win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 United Arab Emirates win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | Yemen 0-3 United Arab Emirates | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 21, 2024 | United Arab Emirates 2-1 Yemen | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 26, 2019 | United Arab Emirates 3-0 Yemen | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Nov 20, 2018 | United Arab Emirates 2-0 Yemen | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Yemen vs United Arab Emirates on Mar 26, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Yemen score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; United Arab Emirates score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yemen | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| United Arab Emirates | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yemen vs United Arab Emirates?
- The Footlab model makes Yemen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for United Arab Emirates.
- Where and when is Yemen vs United Arab Emirates played?
- Yemen vs United Arab Emirates is played on January 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ali Muhsen Al-Muraisi Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.