Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC?
llanelli AFC starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,559 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ynyshir Albions win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 llanelli AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions 1-4 llanelli AFC | League Cup |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions 2-7 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2022 | llanelli AFC 1-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC played?
- Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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