Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely): result 0-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
Full time
What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 0-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 66′G. SheppardCaerau (Ely)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Aberystwyth Town win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Aberystwyth Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 0-4 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely) on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd in FAW Championship (19 points from 9 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Caerau (Ely)?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Afan Lido5-5Swansea University
- Oct 9, 2026Caerphilly Athletic3-2Newport City
- Oct 10, 2026Llantwit Major1-1Pontardawe Town
- Oct 10, 2026Cardiff Draconians2-2Carmarthen Town
- Oct 10, 2026Ynyshir Albions6-2llanelli AFC
- Oct 10, 2026Treowen Stars1-3Trethomas Bluebirds
- Oct 10, 2026Baglan Dragons1-1Pontypridd Town