Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University?
Swansea University starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,557 vs 1,428).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Swansea University have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ynyshir Albions win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Swansea University win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions 2-1 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Swansea University 2-1 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University on Feb 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Swansea University sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University played?
- Ynyshir Albions vs Swansea University is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Pontypridd Townvsllanelli AFC
- Oct 30, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsCaerau (Ely)
- Oct 31, 2026Llantwit MajorvsNewport City
- Oct 31, 2026Treowen StarsvsBaglan Dragons
- Oct 31, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsAfan Lido
- Oct 31, 2026Pontardawe TownvsCarmarthen Town
- Oct 31, 2026Aberystwyth TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds