Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
On Elo ratings, Aberystwyth Town has 1,670 points and Trethomas Bluebirds 1,590.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Aberystwyth Town wins, 0 draws, 0 Trethomas Bluebirds wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town 3-0 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 2-3 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd in FAW Championship (19 points from 9 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.