Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,534).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pontypridd Town wins, 0 draws, 2 llanelli AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | llanelli AFC 3-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | llanelli AFC 1-4 Pontypridd Town | League Cup |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 4-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2021 | llanelli AFC 0-4 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2019 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.8 | 3.1 | 0 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontypridd Town sit 2nd in FAW Championship (20 points from 10 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 16th (2 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC played?
- Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsCaerau (Ely)
- Oct 31, 2026Llantwit MajorvsNewport City
- Oct 31, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsAfan Lido
- Oct 31, 2026Treowen StarsvsBaglan Dragons
- Oct 31, 2026Pontardawe TownvsCarmarthen Town
- Oct 31, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsSwansea University
- Oct 31, 2026Aberystwyth TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds