Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Pontypridd Town (1,599) and llanelli AFC (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pontypridd Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 llanelli AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | llanelli AFC 3-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | llanelli AFC 1-4 Pontypridd Town | League Cup |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 4-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2021 | llanelli AFC 0-4 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2019 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontypridd Town sit 2nd in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC played?
- Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC is played on October 30, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsCaerau (Ely)
- Oct 31, 2026Llantwit MajorvsNewport City
- Oct 31, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsAfan Lido
- Oct 31, 2026Treowen StarsvsBaglan Dragons
- Oct 31, 2026Pontardawe TownvsCarmarthen Town
- Oct 31, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsSwansea University
- Oct 31, 2026Aberystwyth TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds