Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Cardiff Draconians (1,549) and Afan Lido (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Cardiff Draconians win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Afan Lido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians 4-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Afan Lido 1-3 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff Draconians sit 10th in FAW Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido played?
- Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Pontypridd Townvsllanelli AFC
- Oct 30, 2026Caerphilly AthleticvsCaerau (Ely)
- Oct 31, 2026Llantwit MajorvsNewport City
- Oct 31, 2026Treowen StarsvsBaglan Dragons
- Oct 31, 2026Pontardawe TownvsCarmarthen Town
- Oct 31, 2026Ynyshir AlbionsvsSwansea University
- Oct 31, 2026Aberystwyth TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds