Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United?
Yokohama F. Marinos is a heavy favourite: 1,975 Elo points against 1,672 — a 303-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2016 | Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 Fukushima United | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United on Sep 7, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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