Fukushima United vs Nara Club: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)TOHO Stadium, Fukushima
The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Nara Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fukushima United vs Nara Club?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Fukushima United (1,672) and Nara Club (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fukushima United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Nara Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fukushima United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Nara Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | Fukushima United 2-1 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Nara Club 2-2 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Nara Club 1-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| May 6, 2024 | Fukushima United 2-1 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Nara Club 1-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Fukushima United 0-5 Nara Club | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Nara Club on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Nara Club | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fukushima United sit 19th in J3 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Nara Club sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fukushima United vs Nara Club?
- The Footlab model makes Fukushima United the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Nara Club.
- Where and when is Fukushima United vs Nara Club played?
- Fukushima United vs Nara Club is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at TOHO Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026FC GifuvsTochigi SC
- Aug 29, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsKagoshima United
- Aug 29, 2026FC RyukyuvsSagamihara
- Aug 30, 2026Parceiro NaganovsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Aug 30, 2026KitakyushuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Aug 30, 2026Biwako ShigavsGainare Tottori
- Aug 30, 2026Kochi UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Aug 30, 2026KanazawavsEhime FC