Match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. MarinosKyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).

Yokohama F. Marinos win54 %
Draw25 %
Kyoto Sanga win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama F. Marinos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Fukushima United(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)1-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-0J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Kashima(home)3-4J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Maruyasu Okazaki(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 9, 2025Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
May 17, 2025Yokohama F. Marinos 0-3 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Sep 13, 2024Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Mar 17, 2024Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
Dec 3, 2023Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League
May 7, 2023Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 Kyoto SangaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos on Nov 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yokohama F. Marinos1.91.158/156/15
Kyoto Sanga0.92.138/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Yokohama F. Marinos3201546
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga?
The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga played?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yokohama F. Marinos and Kyoto Sanga

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