Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vissel Kobe have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vissel Kobe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Vissel Kobe 4-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Vissel Kobe | J1 League |
| May 26, 2024 | Vissel Kobe 0-1 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Aug 21, 2013 | Vissel Kobe 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | J2 League |
| May 12, 2013 | Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Vissel Kobe | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs Tokyo Verdy on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo Verdy | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Vissel Kobe sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe played?
- Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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