Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and FC Tokyo (2,003).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 1-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kashima(home) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 6-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(home) | 2-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 1-5 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Tokyo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | FC Tokyo 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FC Tokyo 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Yokohama F. Marinos 0-3 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 FC Tokyo | J1 League |
| May 19, 2024 | FC Tokyo 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Tokyo | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo?
- The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
- Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo played?
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 28, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsUrawa
- Nov 28, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Nov 28, 2026Vissel KobevsJEF United Chiba
- Nov 28, 2026KashimavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 28, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsGamba Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Kyoto SangavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Machida ZelviavsTokyo Verdy