Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus played?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (2,088 vs 1,951).

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win63 %

Draw20 %

Nagoya Grampus win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Urawa(away)	4-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	3-0	J1 League
Jul 28, 2026	Verspah Oita(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Mar 18, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Aug 27, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 2-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Emperor Cup
Jun 28, 2025	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Apr 20, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima	J1 League
Sep 8, 2024	Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 Nagoya Grampus	J-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2.1	1.0	6	8/15	9/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th in J1 League (7 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3	2	1	0	8	2	7
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus played?: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.