York vs Colchester: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LNER Community Stadium, York, North Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win York vs Colchester?
York starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for York vs Colchester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 28O. Banks
- 8A. Hunt
- 7J. Grey
- 12H. Boyes
- 23J. Felix
- 30A. Newby
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 3M. Kitching
- 5Z. Johnson
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 15B. Lubala
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 24F. Terry
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, York have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Colchester have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
York score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Colchester | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
York sit 4th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Colchester sit 20th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | York | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 16 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
A question about York vs Colchester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for York vs Colchester?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Colchester.
- Where and when is York vs Colchester played?
- York vs Colchester is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.