Yupanqui vs Lujan: prediction and stats
Primera CRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, Merlo, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Yupanqui. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yupanqui vs Lujan?
Lujan starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,708 vs 1,532).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yupanqui have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lujan have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Atlas(home) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | El Porvenir(away) | 3-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Canuelas(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Fénix(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugano(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Central Cordoba(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Estrella Del Sur(away) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Claypole(away) | 3-1 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Yupanqui win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Lujan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Lujan 2-0 Yupanqui | Primera C |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Lujan 1-0 Yupanqui | Primera C |
| May 2, 2025 | Yupanqui 1-2 Lujan | Primera C |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Yupanqui 1-2 Lujan | Primera C |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Lujan 0-0 Yupanqui | Primera C |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Lujan 2-1 Yupanqui | Primera C |
How many goals should we expect?
Yupanqui score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lujan score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yupanqui | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Lujan | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yupanqui sit 8th in Primera C (33 points from 25 matches) and Lujan sit 1st (46 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 46 |
| 8 | Yupanqui | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yupanqui vs Lujan?
- The Footlab model makes Lujan the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Yupanqui.
- Where and when is Yupanqui vs Lujan played?
- Yupanqui vs Lujan is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva, in the Primera C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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