Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, Ząbki
The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Zambrów?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701) and Olimpia Zambrów (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów 5-0 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Ząbkovia Ząbki vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dolcanu Ząbki, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SwitvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 21, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWeszlo
- Nov 21, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 21, 2026Mławianka MławavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 21, 2026ŁomżavsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 21, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 21, 2026TroszynvsWidzew II