Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab AI model makes Łomża the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Łomża wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Łomża (1,695) and Pelikan Łowicz (1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Łomża
Not enough data to predict the Łomża lineup.
Pelikan Łowicz
Not enough data to predict the Pelikan Łowicz lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Pelikan Łowicz have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Łomża wins, 1 draw, 2 Pelikan Łowicz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz 3-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Łomża 2-2 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 0-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-5 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Łomża 0-2 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Łomża on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pelikan Łowicz score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 18th in III Liga - Group 1 (3 points from 13 matches) and Pelikan Łowicz sit 3rd (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pelikan Łowicz | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 23 |
| 18 | Łomża | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 3 |
A question about Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Łomża the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz played?
- Łomża vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SwitvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 21, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWeszlo
- Nov 21, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 21, 2026Mławianka MławavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 21, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 21, 2026TroszynvsWidzew II
- Nov 21, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Zambrów