Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?

Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok

Jagiellonia II

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,773) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751).

Jagiellonia II win42 %

Draw23 %

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Weszlo(away)	0-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Swit(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Troszyn(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Jagiellonia II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 2-3 Jagiellonia II	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki vs Jagiellonia II on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia II	1.6	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	2.3	1.8	0	6/6	6/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
9	Jagiellonia II	5	2	2	1	9	9	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?: Jagiellonia II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.