Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Weszlo: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, Tomaszów Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Weszlo?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758) and Weszlo (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Weszlo have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Weszlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo 2-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Weszlo vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Weszlo score 2.8 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Weszlo | 2.8 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Weszlo sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weszlo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Weszlo?
- The Footlab model makes Weszlo the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Weszlo played?
- Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Weszlo is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SwitvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 21, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 21, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 21, 2026Mławianka MławavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 21, 2026ŁomżavsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 21, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 21, 2026TroszynvsWidzew II
- Nov 21, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Zambrów