Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin played?

Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze

Gornik Zabrze

Zaglebie Lubin

The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Gornik Zabrze (2,041) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).

Gornik Zabrze win50 %

Draw26 %

Zaglebie Lubin win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gornik Zabrze have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gornik Zabrze win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Gornik Zabrze 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 7, 2025	Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Apr 11, 2025	Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2024	Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Apr 8, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Oct 2, 2023	Gornik Zabrze 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd in Ekstraklasa (9 points from 3 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
6	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	5	4	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?: The Footlab model makes Gornik Zabrze the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Zaglebie Lubin.
Where and when is Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin played?: Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.