Match

Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec

Wieczysta KrakówZaglebie Lubin

The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Wieczysta Kraków (1,927) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,948).

Wieczysta Kraków win45 %
Draw26 %
Zaglebie Lubin win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wieczysta Kraków have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)2-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)4-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Lech Poznan(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Maccabi Netanya(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Zaglebie Lubin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Radomiak Radom(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Slask Wroclaw(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026Piast Gliwice(home)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wieczysta Kraków2.01.7112/1511/15
Zaglebie Lubin1.30.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 4 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Zaglebie Lubin4211547
17Wieczysta Kraków41038103

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Zaglebie Lubin.
Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Wieczysta Kraków and Zaglebie Lubin

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