Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Wieczysta Kraków (1,927) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,948).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wieczysta Kraków have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wieczysta Kraków score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wieczysta Kraków sit 17th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 4 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Wieczysta Kraków the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Wieczysta Kraków vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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