Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,917) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Piast Gliwice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice on Jul 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Slask WroclawvsGornik Zabrze
- Dec 12, 2026Legia WarszawavsPogon Szczecin
- Dec 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsRaków Częstochowa
- Dec 12, 2026Korona KielcevsJagiellonia
- Dec 12, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsLech Poznan
- Dec 12, 2026GKS KatowicevsWisla Krakow
- Dec 12, 2026Motor LublinvsWidzew Łódź
- Dec 12, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsRadomiak Radom