Match

1. FC Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der Brenz

1. FC HeidenheimArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate 1. FC Heidenheim (1,969) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,019).

1. FC Heidenheim win39 %
Draw26 %
Arminia Bielefeld win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Heidenheim have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Heidenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-5DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026Bayern München(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Heidenheim win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Aug 21, 20221. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Jun 28, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Dec 14, 20191. FC Heidenheim 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Dec 22, 2018Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Aug 5, 20181. FC Heidenheim 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim on Feb 26, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Heidenheim2.51.9211/1511/15
Arminia Bielefeld2.61.4311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
91. FC Heidenheim2101573

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Heidenheim the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is 1. FC Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
1. FC Heidenheim vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Voith-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Heidenheim and Arminia Bielefeld

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