1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate 1. FC Nürnberg (2,023) and Karlsruher SC (1,961).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Nürnberg have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 4-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1. FC Nürnberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Karlsruher SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg 5-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Karlsruher SC 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 3-2 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | 1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 3-1 1. FC Nürnberg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC played?
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Max-Morlock-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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