Match

Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSCDynamo Dresden

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,044) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).

Hertha BSC win40 %
Draw25 %
Dynamo Dresden win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)4-12. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2025Hertha BSC 2-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2019Hertha BSC 5-5 Dynamo DresdenDFB Pokal
Mar 2, 2013Dynamo Dresden 1-0 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Sep 26, 2012Hertha BSC 1-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC2.81.339/158/15
Dynamo Dresden2.80.985/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hertha BSC2200516
11Dynamo Dresden2101133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden played?
Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hertha BSC and Dynamo Dresden

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