Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,044) and Dynamo Dresden (2,026).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hertha BSC 2-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Hertha BSC 5-5 Dynamo Dresden | DFB Pokal |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Dynamo Dresden 1-0 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Hertha BSC 1-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Dynamo Dresden.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden played?
- Hertha BSC vs Dynamo Dresden is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 20271. FC NürnbergvsKarlsruher SC
- Feb 27, 2027VfL BochumvsHannover 96
- Feb 27, 20271. FC MagdeburgvsSpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Feb 27, 20271. FC HeidenheimvsArminia Bielefeld
- Feb 27, 2027SV Darmstadt 98vsVfL Wolfsburg
- Feb 27, 2027FC St. PaulivsEnergie Cottbus
- Feb 27, 2027Eintracht Braunschweigvs1. FC Kaiserslautern
- Feb 27, 2027VfL OsnabrückvsHolstein Kiel