1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
1. FC Magdeburg starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-5 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | 1. FC Magdeburg 4-5 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | 1. FC Magdeburg 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 10, 2024 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on February 27, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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